問 1
Which statement best captures the central argument of the passage?
- Fisheries could easily be saved if individual fishers simply chose to exercise greater personal restraint and moral virtue.
- Fisheries collapse because depletion is hidden from view and rational self-interest, under open access, overrides the evident benefits of conservation.
- Fisheries collapse primarily because fishing technology has advanced faster than scientists can measure fish populations.
- Fisheries collapse is an unpredictable phenomenon that strikes without warning and defies any coherent explanation.
the incentive to conserve, however obvious in the abstract, dissolves under scrutiny
枯渇の不可視性と、共有資源下での個人の合理性が崩壊を招く。
「Fisheries collapse because depletion is hidden from view and rational self-interest, under open access, overrides the evident benefits of conservation.」
正解本文は二本柱で論じる。第一に海の枯渇は「retains its placid, opaque surface」で見えず錯覚を生む。第二に open access では自制は競争相手に魚を譲るだけで、保全の利益が「dissolves under scrutiny」する。両者が合わさり崩壊を導く点が主旨。
「Fisheries collapse primarily because fishing technology has advanced faster than scientists can measure fish populations.」
= 崩壊は技術が測定を上回った結果 ━ 技術は満杯の網による錯覚を強める一要素に過ぎず、本文の核は不可視性+合理性であり技術単独ではない。。
「Fisheries could easily be saved if individual fishers simply chose to exercise rather greater personal restraint and moral virtue.」
= 各漁師の自制と徳で容易に救える ━ 本文は自制が競争相手への譲渡に終わると明言し『not individual virtue but collective constraint』を要求する点と矛盾する。。
「Fisheries collapse is an unpredictable phenomenon that strikes without warning and defies any coherent explanation.」
= 崩壊は理由なく突然襲う ━ 本文は崩壊の論理を『impeccable』と呼び明快に説明しており、説明不能とする点が逆。。
| パターン | 意味 | 例 |
|---|---|---|
| dissolve under scrutiny | 精査すると消える | Its appeal dissolved under scrutiny once the costs were tallied. |
| override the benefits | 利益を覆す | Short-term incentives can override the long-term benefits of restraint. |
| open access | 自由参入の | Under open access, no single user is accountable for the stock. |
| hidden from view | 視界から隠れて | The damage stayed hidden from view until the catch finally crashed. |
| rational self-interest | 合理的自己利益 | Rational self-interest, unchecked, can produce collective disaster. |
The argument hinges on a single, counterintuitive premise.
その論証は一つの直感に反する前提に依っている。
What looks like prudence is, on closer reading, plunder.
思慮深さに見えるものは、よく読めば略奪である。
No fisher can directly survey a stock he cannot see.
漁師は見えない資源を直接調査できない。
Collective constraint, not private virtue, averts the loss.
損失を防ぐのは個人の徳ではなく集団的制約だ。
主旨設問では本文が掲げる『二つの原因』を取りこぼさないこと。片方(技術・徳)だけに飛びつく選択肢は典型的な引っかけ。